ESPN FPI makes a shocking prediction for WVU’s road test in Arizona

This weekend, it will be a battle of two 3-4 Big 12 teams desperate for a win. Arizona limps into this one on a three-game losing streak, while West Virginia has dropped two straight after a 2-0 start in the Big 12.

Despite last week’s embarrassing performance against Kansas State and being on the road for this one with questions at quarterback, the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) predicted game actually favors the Mountaineers in this matchup.

West Virginia has a 52.2% chance to win while Arizona has a 47.8% chance to win.

I’m well aware of Arizona’s recent struggles, but I’m a little surprised that the PCs are leaning toward the Mountaineers. This is more than likely a projection that assumes Garrett Greene (upper body injury) plays. If word gets out before Saturday that he’s ruled out or won’t start, FPI can spin this thing in Arizona’s direction.

WVU’s pass defense will face one of the best receivers in all of college football in this game in Tetairoa McMillan. He has 47 receptions for 780 yards and four scores on the season. If he and quarterback Noah Fifita are clicking, it could be another long afternoon for the Old Gold and Blue.

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Oh! WVU is one of three Power Four schools not to be ranked since 2019