The Electoral College map projector spins Donald Trump’s fourth state

Kamala Harris is now the favorite to win the 2024 presidential election, with an average of 286 Electoral College votes to Donald Trump’s 252, according to the latest model released by analytics website 338Canada.

The study, released Oct. 22, has Harris favored to win the key states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and North Carolina, the latter of which leaned toward Trump in a preliminary analysis of 338 Canada published on October 17. The new model anticipated Trump. as the most likely winner in the battlegrounds of Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.

Recent polls suggest the 2024 presidential election remains too close to call, with an analysis by election website FiveThirtyEight released Wednesday giving Harris a 1.8-point lead nationally, with 48 .1% of the vote to Trump’s 46.3%. However, because of the Electoral College system, Harris could win the popular vote but still lose overall, as Hillary Clinton did in 2016, and overall FiveThirtyEight has Trump as the narrow favorite with a 51 percent chance of victory

338Canada’s latest model, which is based on “opinion polling, electoral history and demographic data,” projects Harris to collect between 224 and 338 Electoral College votes, with an average of 286 more than the 270 needed for the victory By contrast, Trump has a range of 200 to 314, with 252 as the median result.

According to the study, Harris is the favorite to win in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, where her odds of victory are 53 percent, 54 percent and 51 percent, respectively.

Notably, the model also has Harris as the most likely winner in North Carolina, a state that supported Trump in 2016 and 2020, where it gives the vice president a 51 percent chance of victory. By contrast, the 338Canada model study released on October 17 had Trump as the favorite to win the state.

Trump was the favorite in the states of Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, according to the latest study, with a probability of victory of 56 percent, 51 percent and 58 percent, respectively.

Newsweek He reached out to the Trump and Harris campaigns for comment Thursday by email outside regular office hours.

On Wednesday, Harris appeared at a CNN event hosted by Anderson Cooper, who challenged the Democratic nominee over her support for a bipartisan border bill that included $650 million in funding for a border wall, an idea that had previously called “stupid”.

During the conversation, Harris said he believes Trump is a fascist, echoing statements by John Kerry, who said that as president the Republican nominee had also praised Adolf Hitler’s generals. talking with Newsweek Trump campaign adviser Alex Pfeiffer denied Kerry’s claim, commenting, “That is absolutely false. President Trump never said that.”

In a boost for Trump, the Republican nominee polled ahead of Harris, according to four recent national polls released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies, Fox News, ActiVote and NBC News.