FBI crime data: ‘Turns out Trump was right’: FBI ‘quietly’ updates crime data, reveals rise

During the Sept. 10 presidential debate, Trump was grilled by ABC News moderator David Muir, who noted that “the FBI says overall violent crime is going down in this country.” In 2021, the FBI transitioned to a new crime data collection system, the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS), and retired its Summary Reporting System (SRS).

When Donald Trump said during the debate that crime incidents increased in the Joe Biden-Kamala Harris administration, he was verified. MAGA supporters on Wednesday said the FBI quietly tweaked its 2022 numbers in recent weeks, after the debate and new numbers showed Trump was right.
First reported by RealClearInvestigations (RCI), the new figures show that the gross number of violent crime incidents, including murders, assaults and rapes, rose to 1,256,671 in 2022 from 1,197,930 in 2021, a increase of 4.9 percent.
In October 2023, the FBI released a press release revealing its national crime data for 2022, which found that “national violent crime decreased approximately 1.7% in 2022 compared to with 2021 estimates.”
“I looked at the data on total violent crime from 2004 to 2022,” Carl Moody, a professor of economics at the College of William & Mary who specializes in the study of crime, told RealClearInvestigations. “There were no revisions from 2004 to 2015, and from 2016 to 2020, there were small changes of less than one percentage point.

“The big changes in 2021 and 2022, especially without an explanation, make it hard to trust the FBI dataMoody added.
Elon Musk even said the last one FBI Crime Data “massively underestimates” the problem.

MAGA supporters claimed Donald Trump was right about crime data at the ABC News debate

Reviews of FBI crime statistics reveal how much guesswork goes into even the “final” numbers that are often seized upon by politicians. The FBI doesn’t just count reported crimes. Instead, it provides estimates by extrapolating data from police departments that only report data from a partial year. The Bureau also makes estimates for cities that do not report data. The FBI’s method of generating these estimates changes over time and affects the numbers they report, RCI said.