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Oscar 2025 Predictions for October 2024

Monicel
Oscar 2025 Predictions for October 2024

It’s October, which means we’re one month closer to getting a much better idea of ​​how this year’s Oscar race is shaping up for the winter.

While all you can really do is make educated guesses like the Academy Awards dartboard at this point, many of the nominees have been screened at various festivals. Only a few great movies, like A complete stranger, Gladiator II i evil they have yet to be formally screened for the public.

We’ll do a quick status check on how the Oscars are shaping up before going into more detail about those categories next month, once we have a better idea of ​​where things stand.

A very unsafe guess about the favorite is in bold in the nomination predictions. Remember this is October. Many things can (and will) change.

A tip of the hat to The Hollywood ReporterScott Feinberg for his excellent forecasting and his database of competitors that we used to guide our guesses.

  • A complete stranger
  • A real pain
  • now
  • The Brutalist
  • Blitz
  • conclave
  • Dune: second part
  • Emilia Perez
  • Gladiator II
  • September 5

10 on the outside looking in: Everything we imagine as light, Girl, Civil War, The piano lesson, The room next door, The Nickel Boys, Sing Sing, The Seed of Fig, evil, The wild robot

  • Jacques Audiard, Emilia Perez
  • Sean Baker, now
  • Brady Corbett, The Brutalist
  • Mohammad RasoulofThe Seed of Fig
  • Denis Villeneuve, Dune: second part

Five on the outside looking in: Pedro Almodóvar (The room next door), Edward Berger (conclave), Tim Fehlbaum (September 5), Payal Kapadia (Everything we imagine as light), Steve McQueen (Blitz)

  • Adrien Brody, The Brutalist
  • Timothée Chalamet, A complete stranger
  • Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
  • Ralph Fiennes, conclave
  • Paul Mescal, Gladiator II

Five on the outside looking in: Daniel Craig (Queer), Jesse Eisenberg (A real pain), Jude Law (The Order), Sebastian Stan (the learner), John David Washington (The piano lesson)

  • Cynthia Erivo, evil
  • Karla Sofia Gascón, Emilia Perez
  • Angelina Jolie, maria
  • Nicole Kidman, Girl
  • mike madison, now

Five on the outside looking in: Kirsten Dunst (Civil War), Marianne Jean-Baptiste (hard truths), Saoirse Ronan (The Outrun), Tilda Swinton (The room next door), Zendaya (Challengers)

  • Kieran Culkin, A real pain
  • Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
  • Peter Sarsgaard, September 5
  • Edward Norton, A complete stranger
  • Denzel Washington, Gladiator II

Five on the outside looking in: Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing), John Lithgow (conclave), John Magaro (September 5), Jeremy Strong (the learner), Stanley Tucci (conclave)

  • Danielle Deadwyler, The piano lesson
  • Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Nickel Boys
  • selena gomez, Emilia Perez
  • Saoirse Ronan, Blitz
  • Zoe Saldana, Emilia Perez

Five on the outside looking in: Leonie Benesch (September 5), Joan Chen (Dìdi), Ariana Grande (evil), Felicity Jones (The Brutalist), Isabella Rossellini (Conclave)

  • now (Sean Baker)
  • A real pain (Jesse Eisenberg)
  • The Brutalist (Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold)
  • Girl (Halina Rejin)
  • hard truths (Mike Leigh)

Five on the outside looking in: Everything we imagine as light (Payal Kapadia), Blitz (Steve McQueen), Challengers (Justin Kuritzkes), Civil War (Alex Garland), September 5 (Tim Fehlbaum and Moritz Binder)

  • A complete stranger (Jay Cocks and James Mangold)
  • conclave (Peter Straughan)
  • Dune: second part (Denis Villeneuve and Jon Spaihts)
  • Emilia Perez (Jacques Audiard, Thomas Bidegain and Nicolas Livecchi)
  • The Nickel Boys (Joslyn Barnes and RaMell Ross)

Five on the outside looking in: Gladiator II (David Scarpa), Inside out 2 (Dave Holstein, Meg LeFauve and Kelsey Mann)The piano lesson (Malcolm Washington and Virgil Williams), The room next door (Pedro Almodóvar), Sing Sing (Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar)

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